7-day Outlook — Eastern Pacific
Plain-language outlook
Right now a large area of disorganized showers and storms several hundred miles south‑southwest of Baja could organize into a tropical depression over the next day or so, mainly meaning extra rain and rough seas well offshore before conditions turn unfavorable by midweek. Another similar area may form in the central East Pacific this weekend with slow chance of becoming a depression or storm next week, possibly bringing more open‑water rain and choppy seas.
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Eastern Pacific
NHC text discussion
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jun 23 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Central and Western Portion of the East Pacific (EP94): Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. However, earlier satellite wind data suggest the system lacks a well-defined center. A tropical depression could still form within the next day or so while environmental conditions remain favorable for development as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. By Thursday, the system is forecast to move into an unfavorable environment, ending its chances for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Central and Western East Pacific: A low pressure system is likely to form this weekend or early next week over the central portion of the East Pacific basin. Some slow development of this system is possible after that time, and a tropical depression could form by the early to mid part of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin