2-day Outlook — Eastern Pacific
Plain-language outlook
In the Eastern Pacific, a cluster of storms (Invest 94E), about 565 miles south-southwest of Baja, could organize into a tropical depression—or possibly a weak tropical storm—within the next day or so. It mainly raises the risk of heavy rain, possible flooding, and rough seas near southern Baja and nearby waters over the next 48 hours before it moves west and weakens.
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Eastern Pacific
NHC text discussion
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 23 2026 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Central and Western Portion of the East Pacific (EP94): Showers and thunderstorms persist with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Recent satellite wind data suggest the circulation is a little better defined and a tropical depression could still form within the next day or so while environmental conditions remain favorable for development. This system is moving to the west to west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph, and by Thursday it is forecast to move into an unfavorable environment, ending its chances for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Central and Western East Pacific: A low pressure system is likely to form this weekend or early next week over the central portion of the East Pacific basin. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this system thereafter. A tropical depression could form by the early to mid part of next week as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin