WTPZ32 KNHC 212032 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222026 300 PM CST Wed Oct 21 2026 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM VANCE... ...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...9.4N 99.8W ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 730 MI...1170 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was located near latitude 9.4 North, longitude 99.8 West. Vance is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). This general motion with a turn toward the northwest then north-northwest is expected over the next few days, with a slight decrease in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid intensification is expected, and the system is forecast to become a hurricane on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Vance are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and continue into next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Kelly